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It ranges from about one in ten million (if you live in a swing state) to one in a billion (if you live in a very safe state).
The average American has a one in sixty million chance of determining the election results.
Except that this is the final problem (the proof of this is trivial and is left as exercise for the reader) so the World-Spirit becomes fully incarnate and everything is great forever. Are you saying you know better than the World-Spirit, Comrade?
So here are some reasons why I would be afraid to have Trump as president even if I agreed with him about the issues.
Many conservatives make the argument against utopianism.
Finally, it ends with the World-Spirit completely incarnated – possibly in the form of early 19th century Prussia – and everything is great forever.
Marx famously exports Hegel’s mysticism into a materialistic version where the World-Spirit operates upon class relations rather than the interconnectedness of all things, and where you don’t come out and call it the World-Spirit – but he basically keeps the system intact.
So order of magnitude, having a good President rather than a bad one can be worth $300 billion.